Serenity & Leopold & Nvidia & Trump — Who Is the “Shill King”?

By: WEEX|2026/06/17 09:30:00
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The AI boom in the U.S. stock market continues to run hot, with supply chain bottlenecks, foreign investment, and policy catalysts weaving together to form the most compelling narrative. Against this backdrop, a select few highly influential “Shill Kings” have begun to steer market capital flows with their precise stock-picking success rates.
From Reddit retail trading gurus to top-tier AI think tanks, from tech giant CEOs to high-profile political figures, whose market influence and stock-picking success rate comes out on top? WEEX Labs provides an in-depth analysis of the performance and strategic logic behind these four key “Shill Kings.”

Serenity (@aleabitoreddit): The “Microscopic Shovel” Hunter of WSB

As a highly influential veteran trader on the WallStreetBets (WSB) subreddit, Serenity is a quintessential hardcore technical analyst and grassroots leader, known for his anime avatar and freely shared research.
Serenity focuses intently on critical supporting segments within the NVIDIA AI chip supply chain. His core methodology centers on identifying key chokepoints in this ecosystem—specifically, the indispensable “screw-like” components essential to chip manufacturing and packaging. He targets irreplaceable small-cap upstream stocks in sectors such as photonics (CPO), optical interconnects, and HBM, which possess scarcity and pricing power.
The performance of three core picks speaks for itself:
  • SIVE (Sivers Semiconductors): Recommended 190 times; since the first public recommendation on March 16, 2026, the stock price has surged 19.6-fold. The company specializes in CPO lasers, which are indispensable core components in the AI optical interconnect sector.
  • AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics): Recommended 123 times; the stock price has risen 5.10-fold since the first recommendation on January 26, 2026. It is a key supplier of high-speed optical modules for AI data centers.
  • AXTI (AXT Inc.): Recommended 70 times, the stock has surged 9.02-fold since its first public recommendation on December 26, 2025. The company specializes in InP substrate materials, which feature extremely high technical barriers.

Leopold Aschenbrenner: The 25-Year-Old Wall Street Stock Guru with an Institutional-Grade, Full-Chain AI Strategy

At just 25 years old, Leopold is arguably the current “chosen one” of the U.S. stock market. With a legendary track record at OpenAI and the FTX Future Fund, he has transformed the bold predictions from his forward-looking AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) paper, *Situational Awareness*, into a highly profitable investment portfolio with devastating precision.
Not only are the holdings of his Situational Awareness LP fund wildly sought after on Wall Street, but his investment logic also targets the entire AI infrastructure chain. He believes the ultimate outcome of AI development is not just about algorithms, but a showdown between energy and computing power. Consequently, his portfolio is highly concentrated on companies transitioning from Bitcoin mining to data center computing power (such as Core Scientific and Riot Platforms) as well as upstream nuclear energy and electricity suppliers, creating a perfect closed-loop integration of cutting-edge technology and traditional infrastructure.
Based on this grand framework, Leopold has executed an extremely clear “barbell strategy”:
  • Long side (AI infrastructure): Betting on Bitcoin mining companies as the “precursors to AI data centers,” he heavily invested in Core Scientific (CORZ), Riot Platforms (RIOT), IREN, CleanSpark (CLSK), and others. These mining firms possess a vast number of high-density power sites and grid access rights, which can be directly converted into AI computing centers.
  • Short side (traditional chip stocks): Simultaneously deployed put options with a notional value of approximately $7.46 billion to target NVIDIA ($1.57 billion), Broadcom ($1.01 billion), AMD, and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF ($2.04 billion).
In terms of performance, the fund has delivered a total return of 267.46% since inception, with a Sharpe ratio of 3.58. Its average return over the past 12 months is approximately 265.37%, ranking 82nd among 488 hedge funds.

NVDA (Nvidia) — A $18 Billion Investment in the Industry Ecosystem

As the world’s largest AI computing leader by market capitalization, Nvidia Corp. does more than just sell GPUs; it binds the entire ecosystem through NVentures and direct equity investments. Its strategic investment portfolio—or every mention by CEO Jensen Huang in public—is interpreted by the market as an investment signal.
According to Q1 2026 13F filings, the portfolio is valued at approximately $18.4 billion. So far this year, the company has publicly invested over $15 billion in AI infrastructure, with some companies mentioned by Huang in public standing out particularly:
  • INTC (Intel) — 177.63% gain — A global leader in semiconductors
  • CRWV (CoreWeave) up 57.36% — AI cloud infrastructure provider
  • COHR (Coherent) up 86.74% — manufacturer of optical materials, lasers, and optoelectronic devices
  • NOK (Nokia) up 149.62% — telecommunications equipment giant
  • LITE (Lumentum) Up 134.39% — Manufacturer of optical and photonic products
  • MRVL (Marvell) Up 145.47% — Semiconductor solutions provider
Jensen Huang excels at identifying and driving industry trends, and his predictions of “the next trillion-dollar company” often become market hotspots. Just as this article was being written, his call for Marvell to reach a trillion-dollar market cap once again demonstrated his immense influence, with MRVL surging over 26% in pre-market trading and hitting a record market cap of $243.5 billion.

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Trump: The “High-Frequency Trading President” in the White House

As one of the most influential figures in both political and business circles, Trump not only frequently makes trading calls regarding the cryptocurrency market, but his calls on the U.S. stock market also have the power to create wealth.
According to disclosures from the U.S. Office of Government Ethics, Trump executed a total of 3,642 securities transactions in Q1 2026, with a transaction value ranging from approximately $220 million to $750 million, averaging about 58 trades per trading day. What has drawn even more market attention is his precise “buy first, then promote” trading strategy:
  • Dell: On February 10, Trump’s personal account purchased between $1 million and $5 million worth of Dell stock; three months later, on May 8, he publicly urged people at the White House to “go buy a Dell—they’re great,” causing Dell’s stock to surge by about 14% during trading and hit an all-time high. This came shortly after the Dell family had pledged $6.25 billion to the “Trump account.”
  • Palantir (PLTR): On April 10, Trump directly mentioned the stock ticker symbol on Truth Social, stating that it had “proven to have strong combat capabilities and equipment.” The stock price surged 3.6% during trading, adding approximately $10.5 billion to its market capitalization.
  • Intel (INTC): Since early March, he has been buying Intel in batches, creating a dual exposure through his personal account and government holdings (the U.S. government purchased a 9.9% stake in August 2025 at approximately $20.47 per share). Since then, Intel has risen by about 150%.
Furthermore, Trump’s ability to influence macroeconomic narratives has translated into tangible market movements—he once posted announcing a “U.S.-Iran ceasefire,” which directly triggered a plunge in oil prices and a rebound in U.S. stocks; he also posted during a market panic stating “now is an excellent time to buy,” followed by an announcement suspending most tariffs, resulting in a 9.5% single-day surge in the S&P 500. This ability to issue trading signals with insider-level precision is something Wall Street cannot replicate.

Conclusion: Is Serenity the ultimate trading signal king?

Based on the data, all the top trading signal providers have deeply integrated AI infrastructure and each has its own strengths:
  • In terms of post-recommendation gains: Serenity’s 19.6x return (SIVE) is unmatched; Trump’s 14% single-day surge shows strong explosive power but lacks sustainability.
  • In terms of win rate: Serenity leads significantly with 88.6%, backed by a sufficient sample size (35 stocks), ensuring high statistical reliability.
  • In terms of capital size and management capabilities: Leopold manages $13.67 billion, with a cumulative return of 247.81% and a Sharpe ratio of 3.32—performance on par with professional institutions; Nvidia has publicly invested over $15 billion in AI infrastructure, resulting in massive paper gains.
  • Regarding the advantage of information asymmetry: Trump possesses policy-making authority and access to insider information, but retail investors cannot replicate this, and there are ethical and legal risks involved.
SerenityLeopoldNvidiaTrump
Role Reddit WSB traderFormer OpenAI researcher/hedge fund manager Global chip giant Current U.S. President
Returns/GainsPersonal cumulative return: 38xFund total return: +267.46%Supply chain stocks up 57%–178% year-to-dateMany recommended stocks up 10%–150%
Trade Accuracy31 out of 35, approx. 88.6% 14F holdings currently being verifiedNon-proactive trading callsAlmost every mention triggers immediate market movement
Asset TypesNVIDIA upstream “screw” small-cap stocks Bitcoin mining firms/AI power stocks + chip put optionsAI industry chain partners U.S. manufacturing/tech giants
Style TagsDeeply mining “bottlenecks”Macro “Barbell Strategy” for Computing PowerIndustrial EmpowermentSentiment and Power
Trading CharacteristicsEarly Positioning + Repeated Calls (SIVE made 190 calls) Hedge Fund 13F Quarterly Disclosures Passive Position MappingBuy First, Promote Later + Government Policy Synergy
Influence Mechanisms Community Consensus-Driven Institutional Capital Follow-ThroughIndustry Cycle Resonance Trinity of Policy + Capital + Presidential Authority
 
From the perspective of ordinary investors seeking reliable, trackable, and consistently high-win-rate guidance, Serenity is currently the most noteworthy “signal provider” on the market—with a transparent research framework, high signal frequency, clear investment logic, and all information available to the public for free.

WEEX Coming Soon: Direct Access to U.S. Stocks, One-Click Copy Trading of Top Signals

While you’re following these top signal providers, WEEX is set to launch a trading section offering direct access to U.S. stocks, allowing users to invest directly in thousands of U.S. stocks—from tech giants like NVIDIA and Tesla to small-cap “cogs in the supply chain” identified by Serenity—all in one place.
Switch freely between your crypto holdings and the world’s highest-quality U.S. stock assets.
⏳ Stay tuned for the WEEX U.S. Stock Trading Section, pumping soon.

Risk Disclosure

WEEX Labs would like to remind you: A high win rate does not equate to zero risk; Serenity’s four losing trades also experienced significant drawdowns. When following signals from top traders, investors should always DYOR (Do Your Own Research), combine fundamental analysis with position management, and participate rationally. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market investments carry risks; proceed with caution.
 
About Us
WEEX Labs is the research department established by WEEX exchange, dedicated to tracking and analyzing cryptocurrencies, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends, as well as to providing professional assessments.
We adhere to the principles of objectivity, independence, and comprehensiveness in our analysis. Our aim is to explore leading trends and investment opportunities through rigorous research methods and cutting-edge data analysis, providing the industry with comprehensive, rigorous, and clear insights, and offering all-round guidance for Web3 startups and investors in their construction and investment.
Disclaimer
The views expressed herein are for informational purposes only and do not constitute endorsements of any discussed products or services, nor investment, financial, or trading advice. Readers should consult qualified professionals before making any financial decisions. Please note that WEEX Labs may restrict or prohibit all or part of its services in restricted jurisdictions.

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