Why isn’t Bitcoin rising today?

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/05 20:00:08
0
Share
copy
For some days now, there have been several positive signals regarding the price of Bitcoin, which, however, is not rising today . In reality, several analysts did not expect a rise today, while things change if you look a little further ahead. It is therefore necessary to make a clear distinction if one wants to understand why, despite the positive signals, the price of Bitcoin is not rising today. The history of Bitcoin up to today The key to understanding this apparent contradiction is the separation of the analysis by period, that is, short term versus medium term. In the short term, two dynamics are still prevailing over the price of Bitcoin that have been influencing it for months now. The first is the one related to the price of gold. Bitcoin in the financial markets is seen as a risk-on alternative to gold , therefore in some ways similar, but fundamentally different. “`html Furthermore, since mid-December there has been a strong growth trend in the price of gold, rather unusual, which clearly reveals that there is a flight from risk-on. Despite this, however, the price of Bitcoin, which is an absolutely risk-on asset, does not seem to have been affected much. “` In fact, the price of gold went from $2,600 an ounce on December 20 to the $3,500 an ounce all-time high recorded for a brief moment on April 21. During that period, the price of Bitcoin went from over $100,000 to less than $90,000, which is not an unusual fluctuation. The fact is that in the same period, the Dollar Index also fell, against which in the medium/long term the price of BTC is inversely correlated. And so, while on one hand gold has probably drained capital from the Bitcoin market for months, on the other hand, the US dollar DXY index has prevented a strong decline, as it fell from 108 to 98 points. The short term These two dynamics are still continuing to act on the price of Bitcoin, even if this might be true only in the short term . In particular, from Friday’s close at $3,240 per ounce, the price of gold today has risen to $3,260 per ounce, and although it is a very minimal rise, it had the strength to trigger a small decline in the price of Bitcoin. The fact is that starting from April 23, the upward phase of the gold price that began after mid-December seemed to have ended, but starting from last Thursday, the subsequent downward phase seems to have interrupted. In fact, the movements of the last two weeks fully fall within the ascending channel that began in the second half of December, so it is obvious that the markets are concerned that last week’s decline might ultimately turn out to be just a flash in the pan. It should be added, however, that there are some analysts convinced that the 2025 peak of the gold price has yet to come, while others argue that a downward phase should instead begin shortly. On the other hand, the anomaly in the gold price is evident and very significant, perhaps even too much given the historical trend of this low-volatility asset. Furthermore, several analysts expect a small and brief rebound of the Dollar Index, which is indeed underway since April 29, even if it is not particularly evident. The medium term In the medium term , however, the two dynamics mentioned above could reverse. In other words, a bear phase in the price of gold could actually be triggered, even if such movements on an asset that is generally so little volatile often require relatively long periods. To this, it should be added that the recent small rebound of the Dollar Index could also end up concluding within one or two weeks, and it could then resume the phase of decline that began with Trump’s inauguration at the White House in January. Note that the decline of the Dollar Index is also unusual, because although it has not set any records, it is still much faster than those of the recent past. The US dollar tends to be a very strong currency in the global financial markets, so it is unusual for its strength to decrease so quickly, even if in a still very limited way from a quantitative point of view. All this means that in the short term the situation could remain similar to that of recent times for the price of Bitcoin, but in the second half of May things could change. This is why it was perhaps excessive to hope for a rise in the price of BTC already today. Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/05/05/why-isnt-bitcoin-rising-today/

You may also like

AI within artillery range

“The cloud” is a metaphor, but the data center isn’t.

March 4th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

1. On-chain Flows: $39.6M USD inflow to Hyperliquid today; $29.7M USD outflow from Base 2. Largest Price Swings: $EDGE, $POWER 3. Top News: Altman defends Pentagon deal at all-hands, calls backlash "really painful"; OpenAI also seeking NATO contracts

Taking Stock of Crypto's Washington Power Players: Who is Advocating for US Crypto Regulation?

These institutions have jointly defined the industry's underlying values, marking the U.S. crypto industry's shift to a "professionalized, ecological, and refined" era of policy gamesmanship.

DDC Enterprise Limited Announces 2025 Unaudited Preliminary Financial Performance: Record Revenue Achieved, Bitcoin Treasury Grows to 2183 Coins

On March 4, 2026, DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE American: DDC) today announced preliminary, unaudited full-year financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025. The company expects to achieve record revenue and record positive adjusted EBITDA, primarily driven by continued growth in its core consumer food business and overall margin improvement. The final audited financial report is expected to be released in mid-April 2026.


2025 Full-Year Financial Highlights


Revenue: Expected to be between $39 million and $41 million, reaching a new company high.


Organic Growth: Excluding the impact of the company's strategic contraction of its U.S. operations, core revenue is expected to grow 11% to 17% year over year.


Gross Profit Margin: Expected to be between 28% and 30%, reflecting continued operational efficiency improvements.


Adjusted EBITDA: The company expects to achieve a positive full-year result in 2025, a significant improvement from a $3.5 million loss in 2024, mainly due to rigorous cost controls and a higher-margin sales mix.


Core Consumer Food Business Performance


In 2025, DDC's core consumer food business maintained strong operational performance.


The company also disclosed Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA, a metric that further excludes costs related to its Bitcoin reserve strategy and non-cash fair value adjustments related to its Bitcoin holdings from adjusted EBITDA to more accurately reflect the core business performance.


In 2025, Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $5.5 million and $6 million.


Bitcoin Reserve Update


In the first half of 2025, DDC initiated a long-term Bitcoin accumulation strategy, holding Bitcoin as its primary reserve asset.


As of December 31, 2025: The company holds 1,183 BTC.


As of February 28, 2026: Holdings increased to 2,118 BTC


Today's additional purchase of 65 BTC brings the company's total holdings to 2,183 BTC


DDC Founder, Chairman, and CEO Norma Chu stated, "We are proud to have closed 2025 with record revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating the steady growth of the company's consumer food business and the ongoing improvement in profitability. We are building a disciplined, growth-oriented food platform and strategically allocating capital to Bitcoin assets with a long-term view, aligning with our core beliefs. We believe that this dual-track model of 'Steady Consumer Business + Strategic Bitcoin Reserve' will help DDC create lasting long-term value for shareholders."


Adjusted EBITDA Definition
For the full year 2025, the company defines "Adjusted EBITDA" (a non-GAAP financial measure) as: Net income / (loss) excluding the following items:· Interest expense· Taxes· Foreign exchange gains/losses· Long-lived asset impairment· Depreciation and amortization· Non-cash fair value changes related to financial instruments (including Bitcoin holdings)· Stock-based compensation


About DDC Enterprise Limited


DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE: DDC) is actively implementing its corporate Bitcoin Treasury strategy while continuing to strengthen its position as a leading global Asian food platform.


The company has established Bitcoin as a core reserve asset and is executing a prudent, long-oriented accumulation strategy. While expanding its portfolio of food brands, DDC is gradually becoming one of the public company pioneers in integrating Bitcoin into its corporate financial architecture.


Uncovering YZi Labs 229 Investment: Over 18% of the portfolio is already inactive, with an average project transparency score of 78

In terms of strategic direction, YZi Labs has begun to extend into areas such as AI and stablecoins, but overall it is still in the layout and validation stage.

The business of crypto VC is becoming promising

Homogenized industries are ultimately fragile; only when different species can emerge does the market truly come alive.