The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is 99.6%
By: rootdata|2026/06/18 04:45:00
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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at this meeting is 99.6%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 0.4%. By July, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 91%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 8.9%. By December, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 38.2%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 43%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 16.2%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 75 basis points is 2.4%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 100 basis points is 0.1%.
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