The market's expectations for interest rate hikes changed significantly after the Federal Reserve's decision
According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 64% (91% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 35.1% (8.9% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 1% (0% before the decision). By December, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 14.2% (38.2% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 36.4% (43% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 33.8% (16.2% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 75 basis points is 13.5% (2.4% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 100 basis points is 2.1% (0.1% before the decision).
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