- Buy Crypto
- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
- Earn
- More
Hunter Horsley: The Four-Year Cycle Will Be Broken Due to "Reflexivity," 2026 Remains Undefined
BlockBeats News, November 16th, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley posted, saying, "Here is what I observed happening every four years:
Consensus: People believe in the four-year cycle, so 2026 will be a bear market year for Bitcoin;
First-order effect: People will start selling in 2025 to avoid the bear market year;
Second-order effect: Sellers in 2025 cause 2025 to be a bear year, breaking the 4-year cycle;
Third-order effect: 2026 is still undefined, but the four-year cycle is broken.
Recently, Hunter Horsley said, "The four-year cycle is a relic of the past. Since the launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF, we have entered a new market structure: new participants, new dynamics, new reasons for people to buy and sell. I believe we have likely already experienced a bear market for almost 6 months and are about to exit it. The development environment for cryptocurrency has never been more favorable."
You may also like
Circle CEO’s Insight: The Future of Stablecoins and Digital Financial Platforms
Key Takeaways: Circle completed a noteworthy IPO in 2025, signifying a major milestone in the crypto space. The…
NVIDIA GTC 2026 Set to Gather Global Tech Enthusiasts
Key Takeaways: NVIDIA GTC 2026 will occur in San Jose from March 16-19, bringing together over 30,000 participants.…
What Competitive Edges Still Remain in the AI era?
Key Takeaways: AI’s ability to write code and automate tasks is reshaping traditional job structures, pushing for new…
Aave’s New Protective Layer: Introducing Aave Shield
Key Takeaways: Aave has introduced the Aave Shield feature, designed to block swaps with a price impact exceeding…
U.S.-Iran Conflict Intensifies Amid Diplomatic Stalemate
Key Takeaways: Middle Eastern efforts to mediate U.S.-Iran tension have been declined by both nations, indicating a readiness…
AI “Brainwashing” Scandal: Spotlight on GEO and Data Poisoning in Large Models
Key Takeaways: The GEO business has emerged, capitalizing on AI manipulation by making products appear as standard answers…
Bitwise CIO: Bitcoin’s Potential to Reach $1 Million if it Captures Gold and Sovereign Debt Market Share
Key Takeaways: Matt Hougan of Bitwise suggests that Bitcoin could reach a $1 million price if it captures…
Argentinian President Milae Accused of $5 Million Scheme with LIBRA Token
Key Takeaways: President Milae is alleged to have facilitated a $5 million scam involving LIBRA tokens. The scheme…
Aave Post-Mortem: Liquidity Shortfall Causes $50 Million Loss
Key Takeaways: On March 12, 2026, a significant token swap on Aave led to a $50.43 million discrepancy…
Bitcoin’s HODL Strategy Faces a 5.96% Unrealized Loss
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin holds a current unrealized loss of 5.96%, translating to an estimated $3.34 billion. Bitcoin has…
Polymarket’s Predictions on Bitcoin’s 2026 Trajectory
Key Takeaways: Polymarket assigns a 40% probability for Bitcoin hitting $100,000 this year, emphasizing market uncertainty. The chances…
Michael Saylor’s Recent Moves and the Implications for Bitcoin Accumulation
Key Takeaways: As of March 8, 2026, Strategy, led by Michael Saylor, accumulated a total of 738,731 BTC…
Bitcoin Weekly Return Hits 8.55%, Largest Surge Since 2025
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin’s weekly return rate has surged to 8.55%, marking its most significant weekly gain since September…
Tom Lee: Oil Price Hike and U.S. Stock Market Dynamics
Key Takeaways: Tom Lee suggests that rising oil prices might bolster rather than hinder the U.S. stock market…
「Wood Sister」: Market Bravery Amidst Fear
Key Takeaways: Cathie Wood sees the current market climate as an opportunity to buy volatile stocks due to…
China Internet Finance Association Issues Warning on OpenClaw Security Risks
Key Takeaways: OpenClaw smart agent, while boosting efficiency, is highly susceptible to exploitation due to weak security and…
Oil Price Soars Amid US-Iran Tensions: Strategic Moves for Investors
Key Takeaways: The US-Iran conflict has led to a 45% surge in oil prices since February 27th, importantly…
CEX Observes a Net Inflow of 4300.25 BTC Over the Past Week
Key Takeaways: Significant BTC inflows were recorded on major crypto exchanges, totaling 4300.25 BTC over the last seven…
Circle CEO’s Insight: The Future of Stablecoins and Digital Financial Platforms
Key Takeaways: Circle completed a noteworthy IPO in 2025, signifying a major milestone in the crypto space. The…
NVIDIA GTC 2026 Set to Gather Global Tech Enthusiasts
Key Takeaways: NVIDIA GTC 2026 will occur in San Jose from March 16-19, bringing together over 30,000 participants.…
What Competitive Edges Still Remain in the AI era?
Key Takeaways: AI’s ability to write code and automate tasks is reshaping traditional job structures, pushing for new…
Aave’s New Protective Layer: Introducing Aave Shield
Key Takeaways: Aave has introduced the Aave Shield feature, designed to block swaps with a price impact exceeding…
U.S.-Iran Conflict Intensifies Amid Diplomatic Stalemate
Key Takeaways: Middle Eastern efforts to mediate U.S.-Iran tension have been declined by both nations, indicating a readiness…
AI “Brainwashing” Scandal: Spotlight on GEO and Data Poisoning in Large Models
Key Takeaways: The GEO business has emerged, capitalizing on AI manipulation by making products appear as standard answers…
App