Analyst: If geopolitical conflicts escalate further, Bitcoin may test the support level of 60,000 USD

By: rootdata|2026/03/30 11:42:00

According to market news, due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict, the price of Bitcoin has fallen from about $71,000 last week to around $67,000, dipping to $65,000 on Saturday. BTC Markets crypto analyst Rachael Lucas stated that Bitcoin briefly reached $72,000 earlier this week due to hopes for a breakthrough in Middle Eastern diplomacy, but as those hopes faded and concerns over oil supply resurfaced, the price retraced its gains.

She pointed out that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz has heightened inflation concerns, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which puts pressure on crypto prices. BTSE Chief Operating Officer Jeff Mei indicated that oil and gas prices will remain high in the short term and drag down economic growth, suggesting that there is still room for crypto prices to decline, with Bitcoin potentially falling to a support level of $60,000.

Bitrue Research Director Andri Fauzan Adziima believes that the market will continue to be volatile and driven by news; if the US-Iran conflict escalates, Bitcoin may test $60,000; if the situation eases and oil prices drop, it could rebound above $70,000.

BTC Markets analyst Lucas also noted that current retail investor sentiment is fearful, with many adopting a wait-and-see or hedging stance, while institutional investors are showing the opposite trend. This month, over $1.13 billion flowed into US spot Bitcoin ETFs, ending four consecutive months of net outflows; Strategy continues to increase holdings, and Morgan Stanley is set to launch a low-fee Bitcoin ETF.

She stated that when there is a clear divergence between retail panic and institutional accumulation, historical experience shows that institutional judgment is often more accurate.

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